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Shipowners call proposed July 1, 2012

Panama Canal toll hikes "simply unacceptable"

 Pc

Four days after the deadline set by the Panama Canal Authority (ACP), The International Chamber of Shipping (ICS) has sent a strongly worded letter describing plans to increase tolls by up to 15 percent as "simply unacceptable."

 

Instead the ICS suggested that the ACP shelve the planned July 1 increase and all previously scheduled increases. It said that ocean cargo carriers need at least six months notice to alter their schedules to avoid a more costly canal crossing and therefore the ACp should agree to the ICS request.

 

The International Chamber of Shipping is the principal international trade association for shipowners, with member national associations from 36 countries representing all sectors and trades and over 80 percent of the world merchant fleet.

 

The ACP published plans to increase its tolls last month, despite assuring industry clients in January there would only be one small adjustment to tolls before completion of the expansion project in 2014. Not long thereafter the ACP admitted that labor strife, poor engineering and substandard concrete mixing would likely extend the opening of the new section of the canal into 2015.

But the ACP never altered its plans to increase tolls on July 1, 2012 if agreed at a public hearing at the end of this month.

 

ICS Secretary General, Peter Hinchliffe, said there was no pressing need for the increases given that "canal revenues are currently very healthy."

 

Mr. Hinchliffe pointed out that while the Panama Canal is an important national asset to Panama, it also remains an essential part of international public infrastructure crucial to the smooth operation of the global supply chain and should "take this important public role into account when setting tolls."

 

"While the ACP proposal analyzes the impact of the toll rises on the competitiveness of commodity trades, no account is taken of the impact on shipping companies themselves ... many of whom are still forced to run ships at a loss in order to remain in the market," he said.

 

"We therefore request that the ACP rescind the current plans for increases in the next two years and concentrate on developing a toll structure that can be to the benefit of all parties to be introduced in late 2014."

 

The shipowners’ rebuttal came a day after the ACP Board of Directors approved a proposal to modify the Panama Canal pricing structure "to align Canal toll charges with the value the route provides."

 

 

As part of the tolls adjustment process, the ACP had established a consultation period from April 20 - May 21, 2012, during which the ACP agreed to receive formal written comments, opinions and written requests from interested parties to participate in the public hearing. The public hearing was held in Panama City, Panama, in the ACP's "Ascanio Arosemena" auditorium on May 23, 2012.

 

The ICS doggedly delayed its comments until after the event.

 

The proposal also increased the number of segments from eight to eleven by Panama Canal vessel type. It also divided the tanker segment into three distinct segments, established a new segment for container/breakbulk, and incorporated the roll-on/roll-off vessels into the vehicle carrier segment.

 

Once approved by all parties involved, the Panama Canal market segmentation scheme will include the following segments: full container, reefer, dry bulk, passenger, vehicle carrier and ro-ro, tanker, chemical tanker, LPG, general cargo and others.

 

Price Proposal

 

Effective July 1, 2012, the ACP proposes to increase the tolls for the following segments: general cargo, container/break bulk (new segment), dry bulk, tanker (redefined segment), chemical tanker (new segment), LPG (new segment), vehicle carrier and ro-ro (merged segment), and the segment known as others. The remaining segments will not be adjusted at this time. Additionally, there will be changes to tolls applicable to small vessels based on vessel length, to incorporate adjustments not previously considered.

 

"This proposal continues to align the Panama Canal tolls to the value, benefit and quality the route provides, and maintains the competitiveness of the Panama Canal", stated Alberto Alemán Zubieta, ACP Administrator/CEO.

 

 

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As of 1200 hrs May 25, 2012

 

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. CURRENTLY THE SYSTEM LACKS A WELL-DEFINED
CIRCULATION CENTER...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN.

ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...
THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR THE FORMATION OF A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE BY LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.
REGARDLESS OF ANY DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...PORTIONS OF CUBA...SOUTHERN
FLORIDA...AND THE BAHAMAS. ANOTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
FOR THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED ON FRIDAY. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE. 

 

 

 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU MAY 24 2012

 

May 25

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1115 UTC...

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 10N34W 6N36W 1N37W.
ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS ALSO IS PART OF THE ITCZ
PRECIPITATION.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 14N56W 10N57W...TO THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF GUYANA THAT IS NEAR 7N57W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION COVERS THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 8N TO 14N
BETWEEN 54W AND 66W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT RUNS FROM 21N35W
IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO 13N50W...TO 12N64W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...IS INTERACTING WITH THE WAVE.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EMERGES OFF THE SIERRA LEONE COAST NEAR 8N13W
TO 4N20W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 4N20W TO 3N25W 4N28W 1N35W
1N40W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTH OF 10N TO THE EAST OF 30W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS ELSEWHERE TO THE
SOUTH OF 6N BETWEEN 30W AND 54W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
INTERACTING WITH THE 14N56W 7N57W TROPICAL WAVE.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH MISSISSIPPI AND
LOUISIANA...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...TO THE MEXICO GULF COAST NEAR 20N. COMPARATIVELY DRIER
AIR APPEARS IN THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA...EVEN PUSHING ITS WAY INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA IS AFFECTED
BY A SURFACE TROUGH THAT RUNS FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA KEYS. THE
COMPARATIVELY DEEPER LAYER MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...INCLUDING SOUTH FLORIDA...
FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS...HAVE BEEN PUSHED EASTWARD BY THE DRIER
AIR. THE DRIER AIR NOW IS TO THE EAST OF 32N77W 25N80W 20N83W
16N86W ALONG THE HONDURAS COAST. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW
COVERS THE REST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...MOVING AROUND A 1013 MB
HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N87W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH
SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...
MIAOFFNT4...FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS ABOUT THE MARINE WEATHER
FOR 20 KNOT WINDS TO THE WEST OF 95W.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RUNS FROM EASTERN HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN
NICARAGUA...BEYOND CUBA TO THE EAST OF 80W...ACROSS THE
BAHAMAS...INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
RUNS FROM 21N35W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO 13N50W...TO 12N64W IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND TOWARD THE
AREA OF NORTHERN COLOMBIA/NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA. COMPARATIVELY
DRIER AIR IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY COVERS MUCH OF THE AREA.
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION ARE IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE AREA...WITH THE RIDGE AND THE SURFACE TROUGH.
BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION ARE IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...
TO THE SOUTH OF 15N BETWEEN 54W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND 66W.
A SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS...ACROSS
WESTERN CUBA...TO A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR
22N81W. THE SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES FROM THE LOW CENTER TO
18N83W AND CENTRAL HONDURAS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION IS FROM 17N TO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SIDE OF CUBA
BETWEEN 78W AND 81W...BETWEEN JAMAICA AND CUBA. THE PRECIPITATION
THAT WAS OCCURRING IN CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING HOURS APPEARS TO HAVE DISSIPATED. THE MONSOON
TROUGH IS ALONG 9N76W IN NORTHERN COLOMBIA...TO 9N80W IN
PANAMA...BEYOND 10N84W IN COSTA RICA. THE MONSOON TROUGH
CONTINUES THROUGHOUT CENTRAL AMERICA...FROM COSTA RICA INTO
WESTERN GUATEMALA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS TO THE SOUTH OF 12N TO THE WEST OF
76W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...AND THE
OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS ABOUT THE
20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS AND THE 8 TO 9 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS...EITHER TO
THE EAST OF 77W OR TO THE WEST OF 77W.

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Early Storm in Atlantic/Caribbean a Possibility


The 2012 hurricane season might get an early start, with the possibility of a tropical depression or storm in the western Caribbean some time next week, according to a cutting-edge forecast Tuesday by federal scientists.
Reporter: Kate Spinner, Sarasota Herald-Tribune
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The 2012 hurricane season might get an early start, with the possibility of a tropical depression or storm in the western Caribbean some time next week, according to a cutting-edge forecast Tuesday by federal scientists.

The Climate Prediction Center predicted moderate chances that a tropical depression or a storm will form in the Caribbean during the last week of May.

Even if no storm develops, the prediction signals that the Atlantic is becoming primed for tropical activity as June 1, the official start of the six-month hurricane season, nears.

"It's something to pay attention to. It might be a little earlier than normal," said Eric Blake, a specialist with the National Hurricane Center.

While the two-week tropical hazard forecasts by the Climate Prediction Center are not very accurate now, meteorologists there are working with the National Hurricane Center to improve them. Within a few years, the two agencies plan to start making a joint two-week forecast, with the hurricane center taking the lead on the first week and the climate center handling the second, said Blake, who gave a presentation about the project at the Governor's Hurricane Conference on Tuesday.

He said the hurricane center began working with the climate center on the two-week outlook shortly after the busy 2005 hurricane season.
"The challenge has really been eliminating the false alarms," Blake said.

The two-week outlook mostly relies on thunderstorm activity around the global tropics to predict where chances are increased for a tropical storm or depression to form. Clusters of thunderstorms occasionally move around the globe in a weather pattern called the Madden-Julian Oscillation or MJO. When the thunderstorms are over the Caribbean and Africa, the chances for tropical storms to develop in the Atlantic increase, Blake said.

But because weather is so variable, forecasts that extend beyond a week tend to have a large margin of error. The five-day forecast for tropical activity, however, is getting much better.

Blake said the hurricane center will experiment this year, in-house, with predicting the formation of tropical storms five days in advance. If the forecasts pan out, weather buffs, fishermen, shipping businesses, emergency planners and those in the oil and gas extraction industries could benefit from those forecasts beginning next year.

 

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Felix Pereira shared a slideshow
presentation with SIOR
event attendees.

Industrial realtors convention gets to hear the inside scoop of PortMiami's ambitious plan from top port planner

 

MIAMI-In reuniting its port system with the downtown, the city of Miami is taking several steps to revitalize its commercial real estate assets on a regional and international level.  With a slew of investment pouring in from federal, state and private sources toward local infrastructure, industrial sites and office space, speakers at SIOR’s 2012 Spring World Conference said the city is working to transform its underutilized south core and integrate the port into a world-class destination tied to the maritime industry.

In greeting the crowd at the Loews South Beach Hotel, SIOR President Geoff Kreusser said while regulatory uncertainty is "rampant" in Washington and on Wall Street, Miami-Dade County is showing strong inland growth in manufacturing and industrial—and it is continuing on the upswing.

The Port of Miami, a governmental agency that oversees industrial and economic development for county, has introduced its 20-year master plan for the expansion of the city’s 520 acre port, which will involve the deepening of channels to allow post-Panamax ships to pass through, as well as plans to create a new intermodal transportation center and a mega cruise terminal by the year 2035.

“We have pretty much diversified our portfolio and our operations,” said Felix Pereira, chief of planning at Port Miami, noting that the projected passenger counts for 2035 will be hitting approximately six million riders, but the development plan will be limited to the existing port area due to environmental reasons. “The port itself is tight,” he said.

But just recently, Pereira said the county and three local stakeholders reached an agreement to move forward with the port’s deep dredge project, which would allow the Port to proceed with the deepening of its channel to -50 feet to accommodate larger container cargo vessels. It now awaits approval by the Board of County Commissioners.

Pereira said the timing of the announcement comes at a time when the port’s cruise operations are expanding. “We are known internationally for being the cruise capital of the world,” he said, explaining that Miami is the 11th largest cargo container port in the world (just under 900,000 TEUs), and currently has about 4.1 million passengers. Companies like Carnival Cruise Line, Norwegian Cruise Line, Royal Caribbean, and Celebrity all have a presence here, and after the dredging is complete, bigger vessels can serve the area. “There will be a whole litany of brand new ships coming in as well,” he said.

The Port of Miami is exploring the possibility of “mega cruise terminal” that can handle four oasis class ships at a given time with 6,000 passengers each. “We could possibly handle 24,000 passengers simultaneously,” Pereira estimated.

The state is also planning to develop a new intermodal facility on Port lands, which will consolidate car rental facilities, taxis and buses into one building. The transit hub will also have an elevated train that will provide linkages back to the downtown.  

Pereira said the transit plan is also being pushed due to congestion in the city’s central business district. “We have 100,000 people going downtown, so once you’re filled and having a downtown that’s revitalized, you are asking for more traffic,” he said. In an effort to alleviate that, the Florida Department of Transportation is planning a tunnel that would connect the port to the interstate system. “ It is basically two tubes going from the highway under the north channel coming up into the center portion of the island and back,” he said, noting that the tunnel boring machine is one-third of the way through to the island. It is expected to reduce downtown traffic by 60% to 70%.

The Port is also working out a plan for the city’s southwest corner, also known as a the World Trade Center. But this isn’t the same one in Lower Manhattan. “This is a 36-acre site that is currently underutilized,” Pereira said, noting that a mix of uses, including apartments, retail and office, are in the works. “We are trying to reintegrate better into the city,” he adds.

The Port, which generates 176,000 direct and indirect jobs and $18 billion to the local economy, estimates that the dredging will be complete by 2014.

 For live SIOR coverage all day Friday, follow @GlobeStLIVE on Twitter.

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Skyway's limited clearance could mean cruise docks off Pinellas

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Legend Skyway YELLOW cables cropped

2009, PORT OF TAMPA

Carnival Cruise Lines' Legend passes beneath the Sunshine Skyway Bridge in 2009.

2009, PORT OF TAMPA
Carnival Cruise Lines' Legend passes beneath the Sunshine Skyway Bridge in 2009.
RICK MAYER/STAFF
The Carnival Inspiration slowly glides through Sparkman Channel between Harbour Island and Hooker's Point. The newer megaships cannot navigate the narrow waterway.
RICK MAYER/STAFF
The Carnival Inspiration slowly glides through Sparkman Channel between Harbour Island and Hooker's Point. The newer megaships cannot navigate the narrow waterway.
RICK MAYER/STAFF
The Carnival Inspiration sails past Davis Islands after turning out of narrow Sparkman Channel, which runs between Hooker's Point and Harbour Island.
  • Legend Skyway YELLOW cables cropped
    Legend Skyway YELLOW cables cropped
    Carnival Cruise Lines' Legend passes beneath the Sunshine Skyway Bridge in 2009. 2009, PORT OF TAMPA
  • Carnival.JPG
    Carnival.JPG
    The Carnival Inspiration slowly glides through Sparkman Channel between Harbour Island and Hooker's Point. The newer megaships cannot navigate the narrow waterway. RICK MAYER/STAFF
  • Carnival2.JPG
    Carnival2.JPG
    The Carnival Inspiration slowly glides through Sparkman Channel between Harbour Island and Hooker's Point. The newer megaships cannot navigate the narrow waterway. RICK MAYER/STAFF
  • Carnival3.JPG
    Carnival3.JPG
    The Carnival Inspiration sails past Davis Islands after turning out of narrow Sparkman Channel, which runs between Hooker's Point and Harbour Island. RICK MAYER/STAFF
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Legend Skyway YELLOW cables cropped Carnival.JPG Carnival2.JPG Carnival3.JPG

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    Port struggles with future strategy
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    Port sets 1-day passenger record
By TED JACKOVICS | The Tampa Tribune
Published: May 03, 2012
Updated: May 03, 2012 - 9:03 AM
» 6 Comments | Post a Comment
TAMPA --

The Sunshine Skyway links the Tampa area with South Florida, provides the region a spectacular landmark and obstructs the growth of Tampa's cruise industry because the newest ships are too tall to sail beneath it.

The problem is not lost on Port of Tampa officials. For the past two years, port director Richard Wainio has quietly discussed with major cruise lines the prospect of building a multidock pier beyond the Sunshine Skyway that could accommodate the newest generation of megaships.

Changes in the cruise ship industry are driving the conversation about building new facilities in Pinellas County. Wainio said the industry appears headed toward building two types of ships in the foreseeable future.

One is small boutique ships that serve affluent clientele. The other is "mega cruise ships" handling more than 5,000 passengers, compared with 2,000 to 2,500 in the midsized ships currently serving the Port of Tampa.

When the Sunshine Skyway opened in 1987, no one foresaw the 182.5 feet between the water and the bottom of the bridge would be insufficient to permit passage of a new generation of megaships. However, the latest ships not only cannot fit beneath the Skyway, they can't navigate the narrow Sparkman Channel and the turning basin. Tampa's cruise terminals also are designed for the smaller, midsized ships.

To ensure growth is not capped by the size of ships the port can accommodate, Wainio says the port should examine the possibility of relocating at least some of the port's cruise line facilities.

"I've talked concept and location, but this is purely conceptual at this point," Wainio said.

An exact location has not yet been determined beyond west of the Skyway bridge, within the offshore Hillsborough County line, which encompasses Egmont Key. Although the docks might be built within Hillsborough, the supporting infrastructure, plus new development for shops, restaurants and hotels, would fall in Pinellas.

There is no timeline for fully exploring the idea, Wainio said, stressing that only preliminary discussions have been held and not with all stakeholders. Such a move would take at least five years, he said, and might never happen.

Still, Wainio said, if Tampa doesn't do something, changes in the cruise industry could make the port less and less attractive to the cruise industry. In other words, the cruise ship industry could begin to bypass Tampa's port, which already is considered a secondary market.

"If we are not satisfied with our limited market growth potential, we must be thinking ahead," Wainio said.

The Port of Tampa handles nearly 1 million cruise passengers annually. That number could grow to 1.5 million if more year-around ships are recruited, but that may be the limit with midsized ships. For example, half of Carnival Cruise Lines' 24 ships are too large to operate from the Port of Tampa.

Carnival would be interested in a port facility in an area that would not require its ships to pass under the Sunshine Skyway bridge, spokesman Vance Gulliksen said.

"This would enable us to bring newer and larger ships to Tampa as currently only our Fantasy and Spirit class ships can operate from the current facility," he said. "It is very unlikely that Carnival will build any new ships that can operate from the current facility."

Many issues would have to be addressed before new facilities would be built, including environmental concerns, financing and contractual arrangements with the cruise lines.

Hillsborough County Commissioner Victor Crist is willing to take the idea a step further: Build new cruise ship docks in south Pinellas, and plan for boutique cruise docks at St. Petersburg's new downtown Pier attraction, in exchange for the city not fighting attempts to look for a new ballpark for the Tampa Bay Rays in Hillsborough County.

Crist calls the idea a "fair trade'' that would be a concrete example of regional cooperation.

"Pinellas and Hillsborough could work together to grow two industries, baseball and cruise ships, that appear to be stymied today," Crist said. "But it is so politically controversial, no one has been willing to talk about it."

Tampa's port could continue to serve midsized cruise ships as long as cruise lines operate them. It could also serve boutique ships, which Crist characterizes as high-end yachts.

Boutique cruises could find a natural port at the new Pier attraction, creating a new draw that never materialized when the current Pier was built, Crist said.

Pinellas hoteliers, restaurants and shops are more likely to benefit from a megaship terminal at its southern tip than current businesses in Tampa from the budget cruises on midsize ships.

"Tampa gets very little of the tourism dollar," Crist said. "When you study the data, it's clear travelers who book on the megaships tend to come in a day early and stay a day after, enjoying the port of call, something we don't get now serving midsized ships."

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Atlantis Primed For 'Take-Off To Greater Heights'

 

As of Monday, April 30, 2012

#By NEIL HARTNELL

#Tribune Business Editor

#KERZNER International's completed $2.5 billion debt restructuring will pave the way to "a new take-off to even much greater heights" for its former Paradise Island properties, the minister of tourism and aviation believes, with the Government having all the Bahamian employment and tourism economy safeguards it wanted.

photo

#Speaking after the Atlantis and One & Only Ocean Club owner announced that a revised debt-for-equity swap had been agreed among and with its lenders, which will again see Toronto-based Brookfield Asset Management take over ownership of the two properties in return for forgiving $175 million in debt owed to it, Vincent Vanderpool-Wallace said he foresaw the arrangement as producing "only continued growth" on Paradise Island and, by extension, the Bahamian tourism government.

#Confirming that the Ingraham administration had obtained all the guarantees it was seeking from Brookfield, Mr Vanderpool-Wallace acknowledged he had harboured "a great deal of concern" over Kerzner International's well-publicised recent debt problems, likening it - and the tourism industry's recent recession struggles - to "an aircraft carrier in very choppy waters".

#"This is a new take-off to even much greater heights for this company," Mr Vanderpool-Wallace said of the debt restructuring conclusion's impact on Kerzner International.

#"This property [Atlantis] really was the kind of the beginning of the turnaround of the tourism economy in the Bahamas. We see this as so important to what we want to do and in building the Bahamas' brand, which is why we've been so involved with Atlantis over the last several years to achieve the level of success we've seen."

#Emphasising that it was vital for the Government that Brookfield's ownership 'takeover' was "seamless" and Kerzner's current Paradise Island management team remained in place, the tourism minister confirmed that "all of the substantial stuff is done" when it came to the necessary approvals for the transaction.

#And, when questioned by Tribune Business on the issue, Mr Vanderpool-Wallace said Stamp Duty had been paid on the Atlantis/One & Only Ocean Club, although he was unable to specify precisely how much.

#"If my memory serves me right, Stamp Tax has been paid, although precisely on what I'm not sure," the minister said. Court filings in the US state of Delaware had indicated Brookfield and the other lenders were deeply concerned about the prospect of a potential $300 million Stamp Duty liability, both on the real estate and assets of a business being sold, while many Bahamian realtors were also watching keenly to see if there were any such payments.

#Echoing Mr Vanderpool-Wallace's words, George Markantonis, president and managing director of Kerzner International (Bahamas), emphasised the positive when it came to Brookfield's assumption of all the equity interest in Atlantis and the One & Only Ocean Club.

#Hinting at Kerzner International's relief that the debt restructuring was now over, and that the cloud of uncertainty which had been hovering over Paradise Island was now lifted, Mr Markantonis said Brookfield had accepted the Government's terms "without hesitation".

#These are to keep direct Paradise Island staffing levels at a minimum of 8,000; maintain annual capital investment spending at Atlantis at a $50 million minimum; and keep the resort's brand marketing spend at current levels.

#"It is a wonderful thing for them to come back and say 'Yes, yes and yes'," Mr Vanderpool-Wallace said of Brookfield's response to the Government's terms. "They were quite welcoming and quite forthcoming on those conditions, which are quite beneficial for the economy of the Bahamas."

#Kerzner International has also been given by Brookfield a "minimum" three-six year management agreement for Atlantis, and a 15-year agreement to run the One & Only Ocean Club, provided it meets certain performance targets set by the new owners.

#Brookfield's acceptance of these conditions will give the governing Free National Movement (FNM) another piece of ammunition for their closing general election campaign, as the Government will now be able to say it has safeguarded all the jobs for those employed by Kerzner International's workforce and the wider economic interests of the Bahamas.

#Tribune Business, though, understands that the latest - and seemingly final - version of Kerzner International's debt restructuring is slightly more complex than the Government, and both Kerzner International and Brookfield - have let on publicly.

#While Brookfield has taken over 100 per cent ownership of the Paradise Island real estate, in terms of the physical Atlantis and One & Only Ocean Club properties, Tribune Business understands that at least two other lenders have also been brought on to the 'equity' side of the debt restructuring.

#Real estate investment funds owned by two leading US-based private equity houses, TPG (the former Texas Pacific) and Centerbridge, now hold equity stakes in whatever entity will operate/manage both Atlantis and the One & Only Ocean Club. This arrangement, a change to the original Brookfield 'debt for equity' swap proposal, was worked out to bring all lenders - some of whom felt they were being disadvantaged - on board.

#This likely means that they will be sitting around the Board table with Kerzner International, although it is uncertain who holds the majority interest here, and the extent of these funds' ability to 'call the shots' when it comes to running the resorts.

#The decision to take an equity stake in the operating entity is a smart strategy for both private equity players, as its profits will likely be based on a percentage of the gross revenues (top line) generated by Atlantis and the One & Only Ocean Club.

#That is the norm for brand/operator companies in the global hotel industry, and the percentage normally ranges between 2-5 per cent depending on the contract. And, as their profits depend on operations only, not the net, Kerzner International and the real estate funds will not be impacted by issues such as depreciation in real estate values.

#In addition, Tribune Business understands that under the terms of the deal struck between Brookfield and the other Kerzner lenders, the 'securitised mortgage' loan they all held has been extended for some two-and-a-half years and will now mature in September 2014.

#While the terms are likely to be slightly more favourable for those lenders remaining on the 'debt' side, in terms of a higher interest rate coupon than the original deal, the relatively short nature of the extension is likely to raise concerns among observers who believe Brookfield is likely to 'flip' the Atlantis and One & Only Ocean Club to another buyer as its exit strategy.

#Both Mr Vanderpool-Wallace and Mr Markantonis, speaking to the media on Friday, were unable to give any insight into Brookfield's medium to long-term intentions when it came to the Paradise Island resorts.

#"The owners haven't specified that they intend to leave next week, two years from now, 10 years from now," Mr Markantonis confirmed.

#Mr Vanderpool-Wallace, too, said it was impossible for him to answer questions about issues that may arise "10 years' down the road".

#By taking over physical ownership of the Paradise Island resorts, Brookfield - via its Brookfield Real Estate Fund (BREF) - has effectively replaced Kerzner International as the entity that will have to repay the other lenders the principal sum owed when it matures. Deducting the $175 million owed to Brookfield that is now 'forgiven' means that there is still likely to be around $2.3 billion-plus owed on the outstanding loan.

#In the final analysis, the seeming conclusion to Kerzner International's debt restructuring benefits both it and Brookfield in the first instance. Sir Sol and his company, now transformed into a hotel brand/operator company, will be free from a 'debt mountain' to focus on what they do best, namely running resorts and developing iconic properties, while the Canadian asset manager has picked up properties valued at $3 billion for minimal outlay.

#Some of its fellow lenders, too, are likely to feel they are now in position to benefit from the 'upside' potential on Paradise Island.

#But it is hard - and too early - to tell whether the 'debt-for-equity' swap will, in the medium to long-run, work out in the best interests of the Bahamas, its tourism-based economy, and the resorts themselves and their employees.

#Much depends on Brookfield's plans and the identity, and intentions, of any potential buyer they may sell the Bahamian economy's 'Crown Jewel' assets to.

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The 2012 hurricane season for the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean

The 2012 Atlantic hurricane season should be relatively tame with a total of 12 named storms and seven hurricanes

Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary web site: Post your photos and stories www.andrew20th.com

Forecasts of hurricane activity are issued before each hurricane season by noted hurricane experts Philip J. Klotzbach, William M. Gray, and their associates at Colorado State University; and separately by NOAA forecasters. CSU’s December 2011 discussion was notable in that the forecasting team announced it would no longer attempt quantitative forecasting nearly six months out, noting …forecasts of the last 20 years have not shown real-time forecast skill. They will, however, release a quantitative forecast for 2012 in April.

Three hurricanes are expected to be « major » with sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour, with Category 3 or greater status on the Saffir-Simpson intensity scale, Weather Services International (WSI) said in its early pre-season forecast.

The Atlantic hurricane season officially starts on June 1 and ends November 30 and 2011 saw a total of 19 named or tropical storms of which seven became hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.

Irene was the lone hurricane to hit the United States in 2011, but it was first one to do so since Hurricane Ike struck southeast Texas in 2008. Irene was also the most significant tropical cyclone to strike the Northeast since Hurricane Bob in 1991, according to U.S. government forecasters.

In its forecast on Tuesday, WSI chief meteorologist Todd Crawford said the North Atlantic Ocean had cooled to levels unobserved in a decade, fueling hopes for a relatively mild 2012 storm season.

Crawford was also quoted as saying most forecast models suggest an end to the cyclical La Nina weather phenomenon, which fosters hurricane formation.

Crawford stopped short of making any specific predictions about possible hurricane landfalls in 2012, saying there were no strong signals about any threats to the U.S. coastline so far. But he said the energy-rich U.S. Gulf of Mexico and Florida may see some increase in storms. For 2012, our landfall model depicts close-to-normal probabilities of landfall along the U.S. coastline, slightly elevated chances in the Gulf and Florida and slightly reduced chances along the East Coast, he said.

The team predicted:

  • A 45 percent chance of an above-average THC and no El Niño development, raising hurricane activity to about 140 percent of the average season, with 12-15 named storms, seven to nine hurricanes, and three to four major hurricanes.
  • A 30 percent chance of an above-average THC and a “significant” El Niño, reducing hurricane activity to about 75 percent of the average hurricane season — eight to 11, three to five, and one to two.
  • A 15 percent chance of an “unusually strong” THC and no El Niño, bringing activity nearly double the average — 14 to 17, nine to 11, and four to five.
  • A 10 percent chance of a weak THC and a a significant El Niño, bringing activity at 40 percent of the average season, or five to seven named storms, two to three hurricanes, and zero to one major hurricane.

Pre-season forecasts

On December 7, 2011, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), a public consortium that compromises experts on insurance, risk management and seasonal climate forecasting at University College London, issued an extended-range forecast predicting an above-average hurricane season. In its report, TSR noted that tropical cyclone activity could be about 49% above the 1950-2010 average, with 14.1 (±4.2) tropical storms, 6.7 (±3.0) hurricanes, and 3.3 (±1.6) major hurricanes anticipated, and a cumulative ACE index of 117 (±58). On December 21, 2011, Weather Services International (WSI) issued an extended-range forecast predicting a near average hurricane season. In its forecast, WSI noted that a cooler North Atlantic Oscillation not seen in a decade, combined with weakening La Niña, would result in a near average season with 12 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. They also predicted a near average probability of a hurricane landfall on the USA coastline, with a slightly elevated chance on the Gulf Coast and a slightly reduced chance along the East Coast.

2012 storm names

The following names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2011 :

Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Michael, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sandy, Tony, Valerie, William

Atlantic hurricane season 2011Predictions

Named Storms : 12

Named Hurricanes : 7

Named Storm Days : 85

Hurricane Days : 40

Intense Hurricanes : 3

Net Tropical Cyclone Activity : 165

Landfall Probabilities for 2012

For the 2012 season, Klotzbach and Gray expect an active season overall, but with normal intensity for the Atlantic and a normal impact rating on the U.S. coast. In terms of numbers, they forecast 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two intense hurricanes and a more active recent average of 15 named storms, eight hurricanes and four intense hurricanes.

An average Atlantic hurricane season has 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes.

Probabilities of the affected territories

These are finally probabilities that certain territories will be affected by an intense hurricane in 2012:

  • A 58% chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2012. The long-term average probability is 52%.
  • For the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula, the probability of a major hurricane making landfall is 49% (the long-term average is 31%).
  • For the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville, the probability is 48% (the long-term average is 30%).
  • The team predicts the probability of a major hurricane making landfall in the Caribbean as 62% (average for the last century is 42%).

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New Panama Locks Opening Faces Three-Month Delay

 

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Peter T. Leach, Senior Editor | Apr 4, 2012 6:45PM GMT
The Journal of Commerce Online - News Story

The Panama Canal’s new locks will probably not be ready for their scheduled opening in October 2014, but will be ready for a trial run by a vessel in December, said Jorge Quijano, the engineer in charge of building the canal’s third set of locks.

The change in the opening date of the new locks is caused by the inability of the consortium that is building the new locks, Grupo Unidos por el Canal, to meet its contractual requirements for the concrete mix for the locks, which delayed the laying of the concrete from January until July of last year. The concrete has to last at least 100 years, but GUPC could not make concrete that met that standard until the canal authority brought in an outside expert to show them how to make it.

The Panama Canal Authority
received a letter Tuesday from GUPC with a new schedule for completing the work specified in its $3.2 billion contract for the locks. The schedule indicated that it will not be able to complete all the work required by its contract until April 2015, six months behind the target date for the opening of the new locks in October 2014. But the new schedule includes work on such elements as parking lots and building that are not essential to the new locks, said Quijano, who will become the canal authority’s new administrator on Sept. 4, succeeding Alberto Aleman Zubieta.

Most industry observers had not expected the new locks to be in full commercial operation until 2015, but the three-month postponement of the target date for their opening is necessarily a disappointment for Zubieta, who has been saying all along that the locks would be ready in October 2014.

They will be ready for testing in October, but not for full operation. “The pre-commissioning tests of the locks will actually start taking place in February 2014, so that says that by that time the lock structure is complete,” Quijano said. This is a three-month delay from the previous scheduled date for lock completion of December 2013.

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Volvo Ocean Race Welcomes Newest Partner Miami Downtown Development Authority

The 14-day festival carries a new name for the Miami stopover.

 
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March 21, 2012 04:58 PM EDT
 
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MIAMI, March 21, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- With only less than two months to go before the Volvo Ocean Race arrives in South Florida, the Miami Downtown Development Authority (Miami DDA) announces their commitment to the 14-day festival scheduled in Bicentennial Park. Taking place from May 6-20, the Volvo Ocean Race will attract more than 200,000 visitors including tourists, locals and sailing enthusiasts alike.

As an official Port Sponsor, Miami DDA contributed $50k to the Volvo Ocean Race Miami. The festival, newly renamed Downtown Miami Race Village for its partnership with Miami DDA, will consist of daily activities, international entertainment events, water sports exhibitions, Volvo Ocean Race Academy, the In Port Race, Pro-Am Race, cardboard canoe race, the Antique & Classic Auto and Boat Show, a classic steamboat race, the legacy showcase, food, art, drinks, city-wide events and the Volvo Open 70s- to name a few.  

With the combined efforts of the Volvo Ocean Race Miami and Miami DDA, local merchants are being notified to gear up for the tourism influx they will see this May. From restaurants to hotel rooms Downtown Miami will be thriving with pedestrians along Biscayne Boulevard. The official count down has begun to the 24-hour arrival event and 14-day festival in Bicentennial Park to honor and celebrate the six-Volvo Open 70's.

The globally recognized Volvo Ocean Race is an extreme sailing event around the world and is widely known as the 'Everest of Sailing.' The worldwide sporting event kicked off from Alicante, Spain on November 5th, and will conclude in Galway, Ireland, in July 2012. The teams are competing across 39,270 nautical miles through some of the world's most treacherous seas. South Florida is the only North American stopover for the race and will host Miami's first ever two weeklong festival.

"Miami DDA is a strong partner to have for this event," says Don Poole, president, board of directors, Volvo Ocean Race Miami, Inc. "We know with the local impact of this event that businesses in Downtown Miami will feel the economic boost during a month when tourism usually starts to slow down."

"Downtown Miami is a natural backdrop for this event," said Alyce Robertson, executive director of the Miami Downtown Development Authority. "As an international destination with an iconic waterfront setting, the district is already serving as a magnet for tourism and recreation. We are proud to participate as a key sponsor of the Volvo Ocean Race and are excited to have this opportunity to showcase our city's greatest assets."

Volvo Ocean Race Downtown Miami Race Village will take place May 6-20 in Bicentennial Park. For information on Volvo Ocean Race Miami or the Downtown Miami Race Village, please visit, www.volvooceanracemiami.org. Like us on Facebook at Volvo Ocean Race Miami and follow us on Twitter @VOR2012Miami.

Media Contacts:

For media information on the Volvo Ocean Race in Miami, please contact:

Rachel Levy
Levy Communications
305-592-5389 - O
rachel@levyad.com

SOURCE Volvo Ocean Race

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Coast Guard Finalizes Ballast Water Regulations

R.G. Edmonson, Associate Editor | Mar 16, 2012 8:17PM GMT
The Journal of Commerce Online - News Story
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Ships will be required to have onboard water management systems to meet standard set by IMO

The Coast Guard on Friday announced final ballast water rules that make mid-ocean ballast water exchange insufficient. Instead, ships will be required to have onboard ballast water management systems that sharply reduce the number of living organism per cubic meter of water.

Officials said the rule is consistent with an International Maritime Organization standard set down in 2004, based on the abilities of available technology. Seven states have adopted IMO’s standard. California and New York set standards that are 100 times more stringent, but New York earlier this year agreed to suspend the effective date of its rule.

The Coast Guard said it would establish a process for approving different types of treatment technologies to meet the IMO standard. Some foreign governments have already approved technology, which the Coast Guard will accept for vessels that install systems before the compliance deadline.

Separate from the ballast water standard is the Coast Guard and Environmental Protection Agency effort to revise the Vessel General Permit, which covers all incidental water discharges from ships. A proposed rule is out for comment, and the agencies intend to put the rule into effect in 2013.

The rule should be published in Federal Register early next week, and take effect 90 days later.

Contact R.G. Edmonson at bedmonson@joc.com. Follow him on Twitter @bobinwash.

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